Warriors vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14


At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (9-16) host the Golden State Warriors (13-13) on Sunday, December 14 at 9:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 131 – Trail Blazers 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 3-6 at home and the Warriors are 6-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Trail Blazers and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Trail Blazers L3, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 116 Warriors, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.1 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSPOR
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3048pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #237assists
Draymond GreenF · #238rebounds
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1735pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #88assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #3511reboundsRecent form
GS
PORHead-to-head
POR lead 3-1 this season.
Team comparison
| GS | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 9-16 |
| 113.8 | Points scored / game | 115.3 |
| 111.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.0 |
| +1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 6-9 road | Home / road record | 3-6 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
GS