Trail Blazers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, November 21
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (9-8) host the Portland Trail Blazers (6-9) on Friday, November 21 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 127 – Warriors 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 5-0 at home and the Trail Blazers are 3-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Warriors and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Warriors L2, Trail Blazers L4).
The analysis Model
The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 118 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORGS
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Caleb LoveG · #826pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #813assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #3511reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3038pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #237assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #108reboundsRecent form
PORGSHead-to-head
POR lead 3-1 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| POR | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | Record | 9-8 |
| 116.4 | Points scored / game | 114.1 |
| 118.6 | Points allowed / game | 112.7 |
| -1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.3 |
| L4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 3-5 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.