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Hornets vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, January 2

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN WI
34% win CHAwin MIL 66%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin5.1
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (14-20) host the Charlotte Hornets (11-22) on Friday, January 2 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 121 – Bucks 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 8-9 at home and the Hornets are 4-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bucks and 4-6 for the Hornets (current streaks: Bucks L1, Hornets L2).

The analysis Model

The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 117 – 112 Hornets, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -1.2 / CHA -4.0 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+5.1

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hornets win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAMIL
112.9
Points scored / game
113.7
117.7
Points allowed / game
115.1
41.7 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
30.6 %
3-point %
34.0 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
85.2 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
49.8
20.6
Assists / game
24.6
6.8
Steals / game
5.8
5.2
Blocks / game
4.0
19.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #726pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #17assists
PJ HallC · #168rebounds
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #730pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #710assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAMIL
11-22Record14-20
112.9Points scored / game113.7
117.7Points allowed / game115.1
-4.0Adjusted margin / game-1.2
L2Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games4-6
4-12 roadHome / road record8-9 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.