Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Hornets vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
4-8 · away
Final score
134-147
Projected: 111-119
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
8-5 · home
26% win CHAwin MIL 74%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin8.2
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (7-5) host the Charlotte Hornets (4-7) on Friday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 134 – Bucks 147. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 4-2 at home and the Hornets are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Bucks and 3-7 for the Hornets (current streaks: Bucks L1, Hornets W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Bucks dominate this matchup. The model projects Bucks 119 – 111 Hornets, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs -4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +1.3 / CHA -4.7 per game
+5.9
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+8.2

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Hornets win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAMIL
111.1
Points scored / game
116.8
116.5
Points allowed / game
115.3
41.7 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
30.6 %
3-point %
34.0 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
85.2 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
49.8
20.6
Assists / game
24.6
6.8
Steals / game
5.8
5.2
Blocks / game
4.0
19.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2232pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #110assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411rebounds
Bucks
Kyle KuzmaF · #1829pts / game
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #718assists
Kyle KuzmaF · #1810rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAMIL
4-7Record7-5
111.1Points scored / game116.8
116.5Points allowed / game115.3
-4.7Adjusted margin / game+1.3
W1Current streakL1
3-7Last 10 games5-5
1-4 roadHome / road record4-2 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.