Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Bucks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
7-5 · away
Final score
100-111
Projected: 118-113
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
4-7 · home
65% win MILwin CHA 35%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin4.7
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (3-7) host the Milwaukee Bucks (7-4) on Wednesday, November 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 100 – Hornets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 2-3 at home and the Bucks are 3-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Bucks (current streaks: Hornets L3, Bucks W1).

The analysis Model

The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 113 – 118 Bucks, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -5.3 / MIL +1.7 per game
-7.0
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-4.7

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
12%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Bucks win by 10+
34%

Stat comparison Current season

MILCHA
117.5
Points scored / game
111.1
115.5
Points allowed / game
117.3
44.9 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
34.0 %
3-point %
30.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
71.6 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
47.4
24.6
Assists / game
20.6
5.8
Steals / game
6.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.2
16.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1325pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #136assists
Bobby PortisF · #958rebounds
Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2220pts / game
Collin SextonG · #108assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1413rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILCHA
7-4Record3-7
117.5Points scored / game111.1
115.5Points allowed / game117.3
+1.7Adjusted margin / game-5.3
W1Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games3-7
3-2 roadHome / road record2-3 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.