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Bucks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, December 29

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
50% win MILwin CHA 50%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin0.1
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (11-20) host the Milwaukee Bucks (13-19) on Monday, December 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 123 – Hornets 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 7-8 at home and the Bucks are 5-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hornets and 4-6 for the Bucks (current streaks: Hornets W2, Bucks W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hornets 115 – 116 Bucks, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -3.9 / MIL -1.5 per game
-2.4
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-0.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bucks win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

MILCHA
113.5
Points scored / game
112.7
115.2
Points allowed / game
117.2
44.9 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
34.0 %
3-point %
30.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
71.6 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
47.4
24.6
Assists / game
20.6
5.8
Steals / game
6.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.2
16.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Bucks
Bobby PortisF · #9525pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #711assists
Myles TurnerC · #36rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2431pts / game
Collin SextonG · #108assists
Tidjane SalaunF · #3111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILCHA
13-19Record11-20
113.5Points scored / game112.7
115.2Points allowed / game117.2
-1.5Adjusted margin / game-3.9
W1Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games5-5
5-11 roadHome / road record7-8 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.