Mavericks vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, December 1
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (14-5) host the Dallas Mavericks (6-15) on Monday, December 1 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 131 – Nuggets 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 83% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 6-3 at home and the Mavericks are 2-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Mavericks W1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nuggets 123 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 12.1 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs -3.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALDEN
Top performers
Mavericks
Anthony DavisF · #2332pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #910assistsAnthony DavisF · #2313reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1529pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1513assistsNikola JokicC · #1520reboundsRecent form
DALDENHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-15 | Record | 14-5 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 123.2 |
| 115.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.8 |
| -3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 2-6 road | Home / road record | 6-3 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.