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Bulls vs Pacers prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN IN
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
9-10 · away
Final score
101-103
Projected: 117-118
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
4-16 · home
49% win CHIwin IND 51%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin0.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (3-16) host the Chicago Bulls (9-9) on Saturday, November 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 101 – Pacers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 3-6 at home and the Bulls are 3-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pacers and 3-7 for the Bulls (current streaks: Pacers W1, Bulls L2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 118 – 117 Bulls, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Pacers and the Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.2 / CHI -2.1 per game
-2.0
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+0.3

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIIND
119.7
Points scored / game
112.9
122.2
Points allowed / game
117.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
27.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.0
24.4
Assists / game
29.4
9.0
Steals / game
6.4
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Bulls
Josh GiddeyG · #317pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #37assists
Josh GiddeyG · #311rebounds
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4324pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIIND
9-9Record3-16
119.7Points scored / game112.9
122.2Points allowed / game117.8
-2.1Adjusted margin / game-4.2
L2Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games2-8
3-7 roadHome / road record3-6 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.