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Bulls vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN IN
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
23-24 · away
Final score
110-113
Projected: 117-116
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
12-36 · home
54% win CHIwin IND 46%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin1.3
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (11-36) host the Chicago Bulls (23-23) on Wednesday, January 28 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 110 – Pacers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 8-16 at home and the Bulls are 8-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Pacers L1, Bulls L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pacers 116 – 117 Bulls, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -5.2 / CHI -1.7 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-1.3

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIIND
117.9
Points scored / game
111.7
119.8
Points allowed / game
117.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
27.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.0
24.4
Assists / game
29.4
9.0
Steals / game
6.4
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #925pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #37assists
Jalen SmithF · #2511rebounds
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4320pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #29assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #248rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIIND
23-23Record11-36
117.9Points scored / game111.7
119.8Points allowed / game117.8
-1.7Adjusted margin / game-5.2
L1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
8-13 roadHome / road record8-16 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.