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Pacers vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, December 5

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
5-18 · away
Final score
120-105
Projected: 116-120
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
9-13 · home
36% win INDwin CHI 64%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin4.4
Projected total236
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (9-12) host the Indiana Pacers (4-18) on Friday, December 5 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 120 – Bulls 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 6-3 at home and the Pacers are 0-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bulls and 3-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Bulls L5, Pacers L2).

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 120 – 116 Pacers, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.4 / IND -4.5 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+4.4

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pacers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

INDCHI
113.0
Points scored / game
118.7
118.3
Points allowed / game
121.5
47.1 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
31.2 %
3-point %
27.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
72.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
29.4
Assists / game
24.4
6.4
Steals / game
9.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4336pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assists
Pascal SiakamF · #4310rebounds
Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #322pts / game
Coby WhiteG · #36assists
Matas BuzelisF · #1412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDCHI
4-18Record9-12
113.0Points scored / game118.7
118.3Points allowed / game121.5
-4.5Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L2Current streakL5
3-7Last 10 games3-7
0-10 roadHome / road record6-3 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.