Hornets vs Hawks prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (10-7) host the Charlotte Hornets (4-12) on Sunday, November 23 at 6:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 110 – Hawks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 2-4 at home and the Hornets are 1-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hawks and 2-8 for the Hornets (current streaks: Hawks W1, Hornets L5).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Hawks 120 – 111 Hornets, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hawks and the Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAATL
Top performers
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #728pts / game
Mason PlumleeC · #456assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #128pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #111assists
Dyson DanielsG · #59reboundsRecent form
CHAATLHead-to-head
CHA lead 3-1 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-12 | Record | 10-7 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 118.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| -5.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L5 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 1-7 road | Home / road record | 2-4 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.