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Hornets vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7

FinalState Farm Arena · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
45% win CHAwin ATL 55%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin1.7
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (26-27) host the Charlotte Hornets (24-28) on Saturday, February 7 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 126 – Hawks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 10-14 at home and the Hornets are 13-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Hawks and 9-1 for the Hornets (current streaks: Hawks W2, Hornets W8).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 117 – 115 Hornets, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.7 / CHA -0.1 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+1.7

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hornets win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAATL
113.8
Points scored / game
117.6
114.0
Points allowed / game
118.5
41.7 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
30.6 %
3-point %
34.8 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
85.2 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
41.4
20.6
Assists / game
32.2
6.8
Steals / game
10.2
5.2
Blocks / game
3.6
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2226pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1415rebounds
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #131pts / game
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #710assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #19rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAATL
24-28Record26-27
113.8Points scored / game117.6
114.0Points allowed / game118.5
-0.1Adjusted margin / game-0.7
W8Current streakW2
9-1Last 10 games6-4
13-15 roadHome / road record10-14 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.