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Hawks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
57% win ATLwin CHA 43%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin2.3
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (8-18) host the Atlanta Hawks (15-12) on Thursday, December 18 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 126 – Hornets 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 5-8 at home and the Hawks are 10-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hornets and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Hornets W1, Hawks W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hornets 115 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.5 vs +0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -4.5 / ATL +0.0 per game
-4.6
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-2.3

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLCHA
118.1
Points scored / game
111.8
118.0
Points allowed / game
117.1
46.9 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
34.8 %
3-point %
30.6 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
72.8 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
47.4
32.2
Assists / game
20.6
10.2
Steals / game
6.8
3.6
Blocks / game
5.2
14.0
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #143pts / game
Trae YoungG · #310assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #728pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #113assists
Moussa DiabateF · #146rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLCHA
15-12Record8-18
118.1Points scored / game111.8
118.0Points allowed / game117.1
+0.0Adjusted margin / game-4.5
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games4-6
10-6 roadHome / road record5-8 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.