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Hawks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
40% win ATLwin CHA 60%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin3.3
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (25-29) host the Atlanta Hawks (26-29) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 107 – Hornets 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 11-14 at home and the Hawks are 16-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Hornets L1, Hawks L2).

The analysis Model

The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 118 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -0.1 / ATL -1.1 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+3.3

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hawks win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLCHA
117.6
Points scored / game
113.9
118.9
Points allowed / game
114.0
46.9 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
34.8 %
3-point %
30.6 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
72.8 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
47.4
32.2
Assists / game
20.6
10.2
Steals / game
6.8
3.6
Blocks / game
5.2
14.0
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Hawks
Dyson DanielsG · #521pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #113rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2431pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16assists
PJ HallC · #1610rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLCHA
26-29Record25-29
117.6Points scored / game113.9
118.9Points allowed / game114.0
-1.1Adjusted margin / game-0.1
L2Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games9-1
16-14 roadHome / road record11-14 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.