Spurs vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, November 2
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (2-4) host the San Antonio Spurs (5-0) on Sunday, November 2 at 8:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 118 – Suns 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 2-1 at home and the Spurs are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-4 for the Suns and 5-0 for the Spurs (current streaks: Suns W1, Spurs W5).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 114 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.0 vs +1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAPHX
Top performers
Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #526pts / gameStephon CastleG · #55assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #19reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1528pts / gameDevin BookerG · #1513assists
Mark WilliamsC · #257reboundsRecent form
SAPHXHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 2-4 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 118.1 |
| +1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| W5 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-0 | Last 10 games | 2-4 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.