Suns vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (51-19) host the Phoenix Suns (39-30) on Thursday, March 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 100 – Spurs 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 26-7 at home and the Suns are 17-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Spurs W3, Suns L3).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 117 – 111 Suns, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.8 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXSA
Top performers
Suns
Collin GillespieG · #1224pts / game
Oso IghodaroF · #117assists
Jalen GreenG · #48reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #134pts / game
Dylan HarperG · #25assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #112reboundsRecent form
PHXSAHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| PHX | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-30 | Record | 51-19 |
| 112.6 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.8 |
| L3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 17-17 road | Home / road record | 26-7 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.