Suns vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (38-17) host the Phoenix Suns (32-23) on Thursday, February 19 at 8:30 PM ET at Moody Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 94 – Spurs 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 19-6 at home and the Suns are 14-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Spurs W6, Suns L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Spurs 117 – 112 Suns, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXSA
Top performers
Suns
Jalen GreenG · #426pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #128assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2510reboundsSpurs
Stephon CastleG · #520pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #111reboundsRecent form
PHXSAHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| PHX | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-23 | Record | 38-17 |
| 113.6 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 112.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.2 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W6 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 14-13 road | Home / road record | 19-6 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.