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Spurs vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
11-5 · away
Final score
102-111
Projected: 115-116
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
11-6 · home
46% win SAwin PHX 54%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin1.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (10-6) host the San Antonio Spurs (11-4) on Sunday, November 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 102 – Suns 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 7-2 at home and the Spurs are 3-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Suns and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Suns W2, Spurs W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 116 – 115 Spurs, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +1.3 / SA +2.3 per game
-1.0
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+1.3

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

SAPHX
116.9
Points scored / game
116.7
114.2
Points allowed / game
115.1
46.0 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
34.6 %
3-point %
31.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
78.3 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
39.7
28.2
Assists / game
25.3
9.8
Steals / game
8.7
6.6
Blocks / game
5.3
12.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #426pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #43assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #3012rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #325pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2511rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SAPHX
11-4Record10-6
116.9Points scored / game116.7
114.2Points allowed / game115.1
+2.3Adjusted margin / game+1.3
W3Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games8-2
3-2 roadHome / road record7-2 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.