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Hawks vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

FinalKia Center · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN FL
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
1-1 · away
Final score
111-107
Projected: 111-115
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
1-1 · home
35% win ATLwin ORL 65%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin4.7
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (1-0) host the Atlanta Hawks (0-1) on Friday, October 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 111 – Magic 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 1-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for the Magic and 0-1 for the Hawks (current streaks: Magic W1, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Magic, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 115 – 111 Hawks, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.2 / ATL -2.2 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+4.7

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hawks win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLORL
118.2
Points scored / game
106.9
120.8
Points allowed / game
106.7
46.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
34.8 %
3-point %
31.4 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
72.8 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
41.3
32.2
Assists / game
26.0
10.2
Steals / game
7.8
3.6
Blocks / game
4.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hawks
Trae YoungG · #325pts / game
Trae YoungG · #36assists
Dyson DanielsG · #59rebounds
Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2227pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #35assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #348rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLORL
0-1Record1-0
118.2Points scored / game106.9
120.8Points allowed / game106.7
-2.2Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L1Current streakW1
0-1Last 10 games1-0
0-0 roadHome / road record1-0 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.