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Magic vs Hawks prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 4

FinalState Farm Arena · NBC, Peacock
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
3-5 · away
Final score
112-127
Projected: 113-114
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
4-4 · home
48% win ORLwin ATL 52%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin0.6
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (3-4) host the Orlando Magic (3-4) on Tuesday, November 4 at 8:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 112 – Hawks 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 0-2 at home and the Magic are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-4 for the Hawks and 3-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Hawks L1, Magic W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 114 – 113 Magic, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -1.5 / ORL +0.1 per game
-1.7
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+0.6

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLATL
109.6
Points scored / game
117.1
109.5
Points allowed / game
118.9
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
34.8 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
75.0 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
41.4
26.0
Assists / game
32.2
7.8
Steals / game
10.2
4.5
Blocks / game
3.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #522pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #58assists
Paolo BancheroF · #511rebounds
Hawks
Zaccharie RisacherF · #1021pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #56assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #177rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLATL
3-4Record3-4
109.6Points scored / game117.1
109.5Points allowed / game118.9
+0.1Adjusted margin / game-1.5
W2Current streakL1
3-4Last 10 games3-4
2-2 roadHome / road record0-2 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.