Hawks vs Magic prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 1
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (40-35) host the Atlanta Hawks (43-33) on Wednesday, April 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 130 – Magic 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 24-15 at home and the Hawks are 20-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Magic and 8-2 for the Hawks (current streaks: Magic W1, Hawks W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 115 – 116 Hawks, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLORL
Top performers
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #732pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #18assistsJalen JohnsonF · #114reboundsMagic
Jamal CainF · #817pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #49assists
Paolo BancheroF · #58reboundsRecent form
ATLORLHead-to-head
ATL lead 4-0 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-33 | Record | 40-35 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 116.6 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 20-17 road | Home / road record | 24-15 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.