Magic vs Hawks prediction NBA · Monday, March 16
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (36-31) host the Orlando Magic (38-28) on Monday, March 16 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 112 – Hawks 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 18-16 at home and the Magic are 16-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Hawks and 8-2 for the Magic (current streaks: Hawks W9, Magic W7).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hawks 116 – 115 Magic, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLATL
Top performers
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #518pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #45assistsPaolo BancheroF · #510reboundsHawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #741pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #113assistsJalen JohnsonF · #115reboundsRecent form
ORLATLHead-to-head
ATL lead 4-0 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| ORL | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-28 | Record | 36-31 |
| 114.1 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 112.8 | Points allowed / game | 117.0 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.6 |
| W7 | Current streak | W9 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 16-16 road | Home / road record | 18-16 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.