Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, October 22 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 118 – Trail Blazers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 64% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 110 – 114 Timberwolves, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-2.5 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (114.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINPORTop performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #541pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assistsAnthony EdwardsG · #57reboundsTrail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #329pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Toumani CamaraF · #339reboundsRecent form
MINPORHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 114.3 | Points scored / game | 110.9 |
| 109.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.9 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.