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Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalTarget Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN North
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
26-29 · away
Final score
109-133
Projected: 112-120
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
34-22 · home
26% win PORwin MIN 74%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin8.0
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (33-22) host the Portland Trail Blazers (26-28) on Wednesday, February 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 109 – Timberwolves 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 18-10 at home and the Trail Blazers are 10-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 4-6 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Trail Blazers W3).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 120 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.0 vs -1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.0 / POR -1.8 per game
+5.7
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+8.0

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

PORMIN
115.2
Points scored / game
118.5
117.2
Points allowed / game
113.9
51.1 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
38.9 %
3-point %
38.4 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
70.8 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
51.6
30.7
Assists / game
27.0
8.3
Steals / game
9.2
2.7
Blocks / game
4.4
13.3
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #523pts / game
Blake WesleyG · #206assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3041pts / game
Jaden McDanielsF · #36assists
Rudy GobertC · #278rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MIN lead 3-1 this season.

Oct 22MIN118 - 114PORFeb 11POR109 - 133MINFeb 24MIN124 - 121PORMar 20POR108 - 104MIN

Team comparison

PORMIN
26-28Record33-22
115.2Points scored / game118.5
117.2Points allowed / game113.9
-1.8Adjusted margin / game+4.0
W3Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games6-4
10-15 roadHome / road record18-10 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.