Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, March 20
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (43-27) host the Portland Trail Blazers (34-36) on Friday, March 20 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 108 – Timberwolves 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 73% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 24-12 at home and the Trail Blazers are 16-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Trail Blazers W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Timberwolves 120 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORMINTop performers
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #326pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #512assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2312reboundsTimberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3019pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #138assists
Rudy GobertC · #2715reboundsRecent form
PORMINHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-1 this season.
MIN
Team comparison
| POR | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-36 | Record | 43-27 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.1 |
| -1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 16-20 road | Home / road record | 24-12 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.