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Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24

FinalModa Center · Peacock
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
36-23 · away
Final score
124-121
Projected: 118-114
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
28-31 · home
62% win MINwin POR 38%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin3.8
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (28-30) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (35-23) on Tuesday, February 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 124 – Trail Blazers 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 16-14 at home and the Timberwolves are 15-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Trail Blazers and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Timberwolves L1).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 118 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.2 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.2 / MIN +3.9 per game
-6.1
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-3.8

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Timberwolves win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

MINPOR
118.6
Points scored / game
114.9
114.1
Points allowed / game
117.5
47.3 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
38.4 %
3-point %
38.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
62.7 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
46.3
27.0
Assists / game
30.7
9.2
Steals / game
8.3
4.4
Blocks / game
2.7
16.2
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #534pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assists
Rudy GobertC · #2719rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #522pts / game
Scoot HendersonG · #005assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2316rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MIN lead 3-1 this season.

Oct 22MIN118 - 114PORFeb 11POR109 - 133MINFeb 24MIN124 - 121PORMar 20POR108 - 104MIN

Team comparison

MINPOR
35-23Record28-30
118.6Points scored / game114.9
114.1Points allowed / game117.5
+3.9Adjusted margin / game-2.2
L1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
15-12 roadHome / road record16-14 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.