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Pelicans vs Clippers prediction NBA · Friday, October 31

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN SoCal, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
0-5 · away
Final score
124-126
Projected: 105-120
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
3-2 · home
12% win NOwin LAC 88%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin15.0
Projected total224
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (2-2) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Friday, October 31 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 124 – Clippers 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 2-0 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-2 for the Clippers and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Clippers L1, Pelicans L4).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Clippers dominate this matchup. The model projects Clippers 120 – 105 Pelicans, a margin of about 15.0 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.7 vs -10.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' offense (111.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +2.7 / NO -10.0 per game
+12.7
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+15.0

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
66%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
16%
Pelicans win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

NOLAC
108.4
Points scored / game
111.5
120.2
Points allowed / game
108.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
29.0 %
3-point %
39.0 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
83.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
40.8
23.5
Assists / game
25.0
12.3
Steals / game
12.5
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.5
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Pelicans
Jordan PooleG · #330pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #08assists
Yves MissiC · #219rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #234pts / game
James HardenG · #114assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Oct 31NO124 - 126LACMar 1NO117 - 137LACMar 18LAC109 - 124NOMar 19LAC99 - 105NO

Team comparison

NOLAC
0-4Record2-2
108.4Points scored / game111.5
120.2Points allowed / game108.4
-10.0Adjusted margin / game+2.7
L4Current streakL1
0-4Last 10 games2-2
0-2 roadHome / road record2-0 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.