Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pelicans vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN SoCal, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass
23% win NOwin LAC 77%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin9.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The LA Clippers (27-31) host the New Orleans Pelicans (19-42) on Sunday, March 1 at 9:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 117 – Clippers 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 14-13 at home and the Pelicans are 8-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Clippers and 6-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Clippers L3, Pelicans W4).

The analysis Model

The Clippers start with a clear edge. The model projects Clippers 118 – 109 Pelicans, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs -4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.3 / NO -4.9 per game
+5.2
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPelicans played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
+9.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Pelicans win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

NOLAC
114.2
Points scored / game
111.9
119.9
Points allowed / game
111.6
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
29.0 %
3-point %
39.0 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
83.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
40.8
23.5
Assists / game
25.0
12.3
Steals / game
12.5
4.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.5
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #028pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #55assists
Yves MissiC · #218rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #223pts / game
Jordan MillerG · #228assists
Brook LopezC · #117rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOLAC
19-42Record27-31
114.2Points scored / game111.9
119.9Points allowed / game111.6
-4.9Adjusted margin / game+0.3
W4Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games4-6
8-21 roadHome / road record14-13 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.