Clippers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (23-46) host the LA Clippers (34-34) on Wednesday, March 18 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 109 – Pelicans 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 14-21 at home and the Clippers are 15-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pelicans and 7-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Pelicans W1, Clippers L2).
The analysis Model
The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 116 Clippers, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACNO
Top performers
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #225pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assistsKawhi LeonardF · #28reboundsPelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4125pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #511assists
Karlo MatkovicF · #178reboundsRecent form
LACNOHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| LAC | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-34 | Record | 23-46 |
| 113.4 | Points scored / game | 114.8 |
| 112.0 | Points allowed / game | 119.6 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 15-19 road | Home / road record | 14-21 home |
| 50-32 (+4.7) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.