Clippers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (24-46) host the LA Clippers (34-35) on Thursday, March 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 99 – Pelicans 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 15-21 at home and the Clippers are 15-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pelicans and 6-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Pelicans W2, Clippers L3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Clippers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 116 Clippers, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans and the Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACNO
Top performers
Clippers
Derrick Jones Jr.F · #522pts / game
Jordan MillerG · #225assists
John CollinsF · #208reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2527pts / game
Saddiq BeyG · #416assists
Yves MissiC · #2111reboundsRecent form
LACNOHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| LAC | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-35 | Record | 24-46 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 119.5 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 15-20 road | Home / road record | 15-21 home |
| 50-32 (+4.7) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.