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Knicks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, October 5

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBA TV
60% win NYwin PHI 40%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers host the New York Knicks on Monday, October 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 97 – 76ers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 60% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 113 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.2 vs +5.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.2 / NY +5.4 per game
-5.5
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-3.2

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

NYPHI
116.5
Points scored / game
115.9
110.1
Points allowed / game
116.1
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
35.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.2
Steals / game
9.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #812pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #135assists
OG AnunobyF · #86rebounds
76ers
Jaylen BrownG · #722pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #777assists
Jabari WalkerF · #3311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYPHI
0-1Record1-0
116.5Points scored / game115.9
110.1Points allowed / game116.1
+5.4Adjusted margin / game-0.2
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
53-29 (+6.3)Last season45-37 (-0.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.