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Knicks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, February 11

Thu, Feb 11 · 7:00 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · Prime Video
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · away
Projected score
114-111
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
4-1 · home
59% win NYwin PHI 41%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.0
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) host the New York Knicks (2-3) on Thursday, February 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 59% chance to win and projects a 114-111 score (Knicks – 76ers), about 225 total points. This season, the 76ers are 2-1 at home and the Knicks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for the 76ers and 2-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: 76ers W1, Knicks W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks), Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers) and Ariel Hukporti (76ers). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 111 – 114 Knicks, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers will be without Tacko Fall or Dominick Barlow (and 1 other). The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +0.7 / NY +3.8 per game
-3.1
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
InjuriesPHI: 3 out, 1 questionable · NY: 1 out, 0 questionable
-2.2
Expected marginfor 76ers
-3.0

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

NYPHI
114.5
Points scored / game
114.4
110.0
Points allowed / game
113.5
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
35.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
42.2
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.2
Steals / game
9.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Players to watch

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109

Head-to-head

PHI lead 1-0 this season.

Oct 20PHI106 - 100NYOct 30NYupcomingPHIFeb 11NYthis gamePHIFeb 27PHIupcomingNY

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
NY 59% · PHI 41%
ESPN BPI
NY 46% · PHI 54%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

NYPHI
2-3Record4-1
114.5Points scored / game114.4
110.0Points allowed / game113.5
+3.8Adjusted margin / game+0.7
W2Current streakW1
2-3Last 10 games4-1
1-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
53-29 (+6.3)Last season45-37 (-0.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jabari Walker FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.