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76ers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Saturday, February 27

Sat, Feb 27 · 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden · ABC
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
4-1 · away
Projected score
109-116
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · home
27% win PHIwin NY 73%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin7.6
Projected total225
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (2-3) host the Philadelphia 76ers (4-1) on Saturday, February 27 at 8:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 73% chance to win and projects a 109-116 score (76ers – Knicks), about 225 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the 76ers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 4-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Knicks W2, 76ers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Tacko Fall (76ers), Dominick Barlow (76ers), Ariel Hukporti (76ers) and Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 116 – 109 76ers, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. The 76ers will be without Tacko Fall or Dominick Barlow (and 1 other).

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.8 / PHI +0.7 per game
+3.1
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
InjuriesNY: 1 out, 0 questionable · PHI: 3 out, 1 questionable
+2.2
Expected marginfor Knicks
+7.6

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
42%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
76ers win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

PHINY
114.4
Points scored / game
114.5
113.5
Points allowed / game
110.0
42.8 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
32.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
48.2
24.6
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.2
5.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Players to watch

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028.4pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236.8assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110.0rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
WNY106-100WCLE114-106WMIL127-116LDET106-93WIND114-109
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127

Head-to-head

PHI lead 1-0 this season.

Oct 20PHI106 - 100NYOct 30NYupcomingPHIFeb 11NYupcomingPHIFeb 27PHIthis gameNY

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
PHI 27% · NY 73%
ESPN BPI
PHI 43% · NY 57%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

PHINY
4-1Record2-3
114.4Points scored / game114.5
113.5Points allowed / game110.0
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+3.8
W1Current streakW2
4-1Last 10 games2-3
2-0 roadHome / road record1-2 home
45-37 (-0.2)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

Tacko Fall COut
Dominick Barlow FOut
Ariel Hukporti COut
Jabari Walker FDay-To-Day

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.