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76ers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 20

FinalMadison Square Garden · NBC
27% win PHIwin NY 73%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin7.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks host the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, October 20 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 106 – Knicks 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 73% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 119 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 7.8 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.4 vs -0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.4 / PHI -0.2 per game
+5.5
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+7.8

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
76ers win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

PHINY
115.9
Points scored / game
116.5
116.1
Points allowed / game
110.1
42.8 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
32.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
48.2
24.6
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.2
5.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #028pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #237assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2111rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1121pts / game
Andre DrummondC · #04assists
Andre DrummondC · #014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHINY
1-0Record0-1
115.9Points scored / game116.5
116.1Points allowed / game110.1
-0.2Adjusted margin / game+5.4
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
45-37 (-0.2)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.