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Pistons vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, April 9

Fri, Apr 9 · 7:00 PM ETMadison Square Garden · Prime Video
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
4-1 · away
Projected score
112-110
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · home
55% win DETwin NY 45%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin1.6
Projected total221
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (2-3) host the Detroit Pistons (4-1) on Friday, April 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pistons a 55% chance to win and projects a 112-110 score (Pistons – Knicks), about 221 total points. This season, the Knicks are 1-2 at home and the Pistons are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Knicks and 4-1 for the Pistons (current streaks: Knicks W2, Pistons W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Knicks played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Jalen Duren (Pistons) and Jose Alvarado (Knicks). Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Knicks 110 – 112 Pistons, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. The Pistons will be without Jalen Duren.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.8 / DET +6.5 per game
-2.6
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
-1.6
InjuriesNY: 1 out, 0 questionable · DET: 1 out, 1 questionable
+0.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
-1.6

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

DETNY
115.4
Points scored / game
114.5
107.8
Points allowed / game
110.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
37.9 %
3-point %
35.9 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
8.0
Steals / game
7.2
7.2
Blocks / game
4.4
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Players to watch

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #222.6pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27.8assists
Paul ReedF · #77.6rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
WBOS121-113WMIA128-111WPHI106-93LNY111-97WCHA97-89
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127

Head-to-head

NY lead 1-0 this season.

Oct 27DET97 - 111NYFeb 3NYupcomingDETFeb 17NYupcomingDETApr 9DETthis gameNY

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
DET 55% · NY 45%
ESPN BPI
DET 49% · NY 51%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

DETNY
4-1Record2-3
115.4Points scored / game114.5
107.8Points allowed / game110.0
+6.5Adjusted margin / game+3.8
W1Current streakW2
4-1Last 10 games2-3
2-1 roadHome / road record1-2 home
60-22 (+8.2)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

Jalen Duren COut
Isaiah Joe GDay-To-Day

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.