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Pistons vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 27

FinalMadison Square Garden · NBC
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
3-1 · away
Final score
97-111
Projected: 114-111
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
1-3 · home
57% win DETwin NY 43%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin2.2
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (0-3) host the Detroit Pistons (3-0) on Tuesday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 97 – Knicks 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 0-2 at home and the Pistons are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-3 for the Knicks and 3-0 for the Pistons (current streaks: Knicks L3, Pistons W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Knicks 111 – 114 Pistons, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.2 vs +7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.2 / DET +7.7 per game
-4.5
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
-2.2

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

DETNY
117.9
Points scored / game
113.5
108.8
Points allowed / game
109.7
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
37.9 %
3-point %
35.9 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
8.0
Steals / game
7.2
7.2
Blocks / game
4.4
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Pistons
Paul ReedF · #722pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #28assists
Paul ReedF · #79rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3227pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #117assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3220rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETNY
3-0Record0-3
117.9Points scored / game113.5
108.8Points allowed / game109.7
+7.7Adjusted margin / game+3.2
W3Current streakL3
3-0Last 10 games0-3
2-0 roadHome / road record0-2 home
60-22 (+8.2)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.