Lakers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 13
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Los Angeles Lakers (4-1) on Wednesday, January 13 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 52% chance to win and projects a 114-115 score (Lakers – Trail Blazers), about 229 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Lakers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 4-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Lakers W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Trail Blazers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Cameron Carr (Lakers), Adou Thiero (Lakers), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. The Lakers will be without Cameron Carr or Adou Thiero. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALPOR
Players to watch
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736.0pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #778.2assists
Walker KesslerC · #148.2reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
LAL
127-105W
125-117W
132-123L
136-129W103-87POR
110-98L128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129Head-to-head
POR lead 1-0 this season.
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| LAL | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 53-29 (+1.8) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.