Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 1
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) on Tuesday, December 1 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 53% chance to win and projects a 116-115 score (Timberwolves – Trail Blazers), about 230 total points. This season, the Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home and the Timberwolves are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Trail Blazers and 3-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Timberwolves L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves), Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves), Robert Williams III (Trail Blazers), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Robert Williams III or Chris Youngblood (and 1 other). The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINPOR
Players to watch
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712.2reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsRecent form
MIN
131-106W
115-93W
117-94L
127-125 OTL
119-114POR
110-98L128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| MIN | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-0 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 112.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 49-33 (+3.4) | Last season | 42-40 (-0.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.