Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Tuesday, November 17 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 65% chance to win and projects a 112-117 score (Trail Blazers – Timberwolves), about 229 total points. This season, the Timberwolves are 1-1 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Timberwolves and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Timberwolves L2, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Timberwolves and the Trail Blazers played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) and Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 117 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves and the Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORMIN
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712.2reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129MIN
131-106W
115-93W
117-94L
127-125 OTL119-114Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
POR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-2 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.2 |
| W3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 49-33 (+3.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.