Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Timberwolves vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, October 31

Sat, Oct 31 · 8:00 PM ETFrost Bank Center · NBA League Pass, DAZN MIN, DAZN SAS

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-2 · away

Projected score

111-117

San Antonio Spurs

3-2 · home

33% win MINwin SA 67%

FavoriteSA

Projected margin5.4

Projected total228

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (3-2) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) on Saturday, October 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Spurs a 67% chance to win and projects a 111-117 score (Timberwolves – Spurs), about 228 total points. This season, the Spurs are 1-2 at home and the Timberwolves are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Spurs and 3-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Spurs W3, Timberwolves L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Timberwolves played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves), Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves), Tobias Harris (Spurs) and Jayden Quaintance (Spurs). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Timberwolves have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Spurs 117 – 111 Timberwolves, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Spurs will be without Tobias Harris or Jayden Quaintance. The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo.

The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs

Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +6.6 / MIN +5.2 per game

+1.5

Home-court advantageSpurs at home

+2.3

Back-to-backTimberwolves played yesterday

+1.6

InjuriesSA: 2 out, 0 questionable · MIN: 2 out, 0 questionable

0.0

Expected marginfor Spurs

+5.4

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+

36%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

28%

Timberwolves win by 10+

11%

Stat comparison Current season

MINSA

118.7

Points scored / game

118.9

112.6

Points allowed / game

111.1

47.3 %

Field goal %

46.0 %

38.4 %

3-point %

34.6 %

40.6

3-pointers attempted / game

38.2

62.7 %

Free throw %

78.3 %

51.6

Rebounds / game

45.0

27.0

Assists / game

28.2

9.2

Steals / game

9.8

4.4

Blocks / game

6.6

16.2

Turnovers / game

12.8

Players to watch

Timberwolves

Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game

LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists

Rudy GobertC · #2712.2rebounds

Spurs

Victor WembanyamaF · #125.0pts / game

De'Aaron FoxG · #47.0assists

Victor WembanyamaF · #111.4rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

MIN

131-106W

115-93W

117-94L

127-125 OTL

119-114

116-104L

114-110W

122-106W

130-103W

117-111 OT

Head-to-head

4 meetings scheduled this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

MIN 33% · SA 67%

ESPN BPI

MIN 29% · SA 71%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

MIN		SA
3-2	Record	3-2
118.7	Points scored / game	118.9
112.6	Points allowed / game	111.1
+5.2	Adjusted margin / game	+6.6
L2	Current streak	W3
3-2	Last 10 games	3-2
2-1 road	Home / road record	1-2 home
49-33 (+3.4)	Last season	62-20 (+8.3)
Yes	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards GOut

Donte DiVincenzo GOut

Injury report Spurs

Tobias Harris FOut

Jayden Quaintance FOut

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.