Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (0-3) host the Denver Nuggets (1-2) on Wednesday, October 28 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 104 – Pelicans 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 0-1 at home and the Nuggets are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-3 for the Pelicans and 1-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Pelicans L3, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 118 – 121 Nuggets, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-3.6 vs +2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENNO
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2723pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #1513reboundsPelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #125pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #55assists
Derik QueenC · #2212reboundsRecent form
DENNOHead-to-head
DEN lead 2-0 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| DEN | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 0-3 |
| 120.3 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 121.6 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 1-2 | Last 10 games | 0-3 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 54-28 (+5.2) | Last season | 26-56 (-4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.