Pelicans vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, October 24
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (0-1) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 135 – Nuggets 141. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Nuggets and 0-2 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Pelicans L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 122 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 10.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+3.3 vs -3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (119.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NODEN
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2526pts / game
Jordan PooleG · #37assists
DeAndre JordanC · #69reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2742pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsRecent form
NODENHead-to-head
DEN lead 2-0 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-1 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 119.1 |
| 120.2 | Points allowed / game | 115.3 |
| -3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-2 | Last 10 games | 0-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 54-28 (+5.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.