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Pacers vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, October 25

FinalBarclays Center · NBA League Pass, DAZN IND, DAZN (YES)
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
2-1 · away
Final score
136-109
Projected: 114-113
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
0-3 · home
52% win INDwin BKN 48%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin0.6
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (0-2) host the Indiana Pacers (1-1) on Sunday, October 25 at 6:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 136 – Nets 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 0-1 at home and the Pacers are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-2 for the Nets and 1-1 for the Pacers (current streaks: Nets L2, Pacers L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 113 – 114 Pacers, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pacers' offense (112.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.9 / IND -6.6 per game
-1.3
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-0.6

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pacers win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

INDBKN
112.7
Points scored / game
106.8
120.4
Points allowed / game
116.1
47.1 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
31.2 %
3-point %
36.7 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
72.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
29.4
Assists / game
24.0
6.4
Steals / game
10.0
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Pacers
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #024pts / game
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #010assists
Pascal SiakamF · #437rebounds
Nets
Nolan TraoreG · #1017pts / game
Julius RandleF · #307assists
Josh MinottF · #008rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDBKN
1-1Record0-2
112.7Points scored / game106.8
120.4Points allowed / game116.1
-6.6Adjusted margin / game-7.9
L1Current streakL2
1-1Last 10 games0-2
1-0 roadHome / road record0-1 home
19-63 (-8.0)Last season20-62 (-10.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.