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Nets vs Pacers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 1

Sun, Nov 1 · 5:00 PM ETGainbridge Fieldhouse · NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), DAZN IND

Brooklyn Nets

0-4 · away

Projected score

111-115

Indiana Pacers

2-3 · home

38% win BKNwin IND 62%

FavoriteIND

Projected margin3.8

Projected total227

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (2-3) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-4) on Sunday, November 1 at 5:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pacers a 62% chance to win and projects a 111-115 score (Nets – Pacers), about 227 total points. This season, the Pacers are 0-2 at home and the Nets are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Pacers and 0-4 for the Nets (current streaks: Pacers L2, Nets L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Egor Demin (Nets), Tyler Bilodeau (Nets), T.J. McConnell (Pacers), Ben Sheppard (Pacers), Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) and Johnny Furphy (Pacers). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

The Pacers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pacers 115 – 111 Nets, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers will be without T.J. McConnell or Ben Sheppard (and 2 others). The Nets will be without Egor Demin or Tyler Bilodeau. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Pacers' offense (113.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.7 / BKN -8.4 per game

+3.7

Home-court advantagePacers at home

+2.3

InjuriesIND: 4 out, 1 questionable · BKN: 2 out, 0 questionable

-2.2

Expected marginfor Pacers

+3.8

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+

31%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Nets win by 10+

13%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNIND

108.0

Points scored / game

113.2

117.9

Points allowed / game

118.8

42.9 %

Field goal %

47.1 %

36.7 %

3-point %

31.2 %

42.3

3-pointers attempted / game

37.8

76.6 %

Free throw %

72.7 %

43.5

Rebounds / game

44.0

24.0

Assists / game

29.4

10.0

Steals / game

6.4

4.0

Blocks / game

4.8

17.5

Turnovers / game

14.8

Players to watch

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722.8pts / game

Julius RandleF · #305.8assists

Julius RandleF · #307.5rebounds

Pacers

Pascal SiakamF · #4324.0pts / game

Tyrese HaliburtonG · #09.5assists

Ivica ZubacC · #409.0rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BKN

L144-128L110-103L125-121L136-109L125-124 OT

IND

123-120L

121-105W

136-109L

110-102L

114-109

Head-to-head

IND lead 1-0 this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

BKN 38% · IND 62%

ESPN BPI

BKN 42% · IND 58%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

BKN		IND
0-4	Record	2-3
108.0	Points scored / game	113.2
117.9	Points allowed / game	118.8
-8.4	Adjusted margin / game	-4.7
L4	Current streak	L2
0-4	Last 10 games	2-3
0-2 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
20-62 (-10.0)	Last season	19-63 (-8.0)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Nets

Egor Demin GOut

Tyler Bilodeau FOut

Injury report Pacers

T.J. McConnell GOut

Ben Sheppard GOut

Tyrese Haliburton GOut

Johnny Furphy GOut

Ivica Zubac CDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.