Heat vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, October 24
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (1-1) host the Miami Heat (0-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 6:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 110 – Hornets 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 0-1 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Hornets and 0-2 for the Heat (current streaks: Hornets L1, Heat L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 117 – 113 Heat, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets and the Heat played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (119.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIACHA
Top performers
Heat
Davion MitchellG · #222pts / gameDavion MitchellG · #210assists
Bam AdebayoC · #138reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2434pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #175assists
Naz ReidC · #09reboundsRecent form
MIACHAHead-to-head
CHA lead 1-0 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 119.1 | Points scored / game | 113.1 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 111.8 |
| -0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-2 | Last 10 games | 1-1 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 43-39 (+2.3) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.