Suns vs Spurs prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 14
FinalFrost Bank Center · Suns Live
26% win PHXwin SA 74%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin8.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs host the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, October 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 103 – Spurs 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 74% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 110 Suns, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+7.1 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +7.1 / PHX +1.2 per game
+5.8
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+8.1
Scenarios
Spurs win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Suns win by 10+
7%
Stat comparison Current season
PHXSA
112.6119.8
111.1111.5
45.6 %46.0 %
31.9 %34.6 %
39.738.2
73.9 %78.3 %
39.745.0
25.328.2
8.79.8
5.36.6
14.012.8
Top performers
Suns
Jamaree BouyeaG · #1715pts / gameJamaree BouyeaG · #178assistsJamaree BouyeaG · #174reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #119pts / game
Ja'Kobi GillespieG · #174assists
Tarris Reed Jr.C · #109reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHXNo games played yet.
SANo games played yet.
Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
SA
Team comparison
| PHX | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 112.6 | Points scored / game | 119.8 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +7.1 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 45-37 (+1.5) | Last season | 62-20 (+8.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
No injuries reported.
Injury report Spurs
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.