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Warriors vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 13

FinalT-Mobile Arena · NBA TV, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +
37% win GSwin LAL 63%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin4.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers host the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday, October 13 at 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 101 – Lakers 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 63% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 117 – 113 Warriors, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.5 / GS -0.5 per game
+2.0
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+4.3

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Warriors win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

GSLAL
114.6
Points scored / game
116.3
115.2
Points allowed / game
114.6
45.0 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
36.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
82.2 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
25.6
Assists / game
24.0
9.6
Steals / game
10.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Warriors
Yaxel LendeborgF · #117pts / game
Yaxel LendeborgF · #14assists
Charles BasseyC · #2812rebounds
Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1528pts / game
Austin ReavesG · #157assists
Walker KesslerC · #149rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSLAL
3-2Record2-2
114.6Points scored / game116.3
115.2Points allowed / game114.6
-0.5Adjusted margin / game+1.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
37-45 (-0.6)Last season53-29 (+1.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.