Warriors vs Lakers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday, October 21 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 105 – Lakers 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 63% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 117 – 113 Warriors, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSLAL
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3023pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #238assists
Gui SantosF · #155reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7728pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #777assists
Walker KesslerC · #149reboundsRecent form
GSLALHead-to-head
LAL lead 1-0 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| GS | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 114.6 |
| -0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 37-45 (-0.6) | Last season | 53-29 (+1.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.