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Trail Blazers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, October 16

FinalChase Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision
43% win PORwin GS 57%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin2.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors host the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday, October 16 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 118 – Warriors 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 57% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 116 – 114 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS -0.5 / POR -0.2 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+2.1

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

PORGS
115.5
Points scored / game
114.6
115.8
Points allowed / game
115.2
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
38.9 %
3-point %
36.9 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
70.8 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
43.8
30.7
Assists / game
25.6
8.3
Steals / game
9.6
2.7
Blocks / game
3.8
13.3
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Damian LillardG · #023pts / game
Damian LillardG · #03assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3020pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2310assists
Draymond GreenF · #238rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORGS
3-1Record4-2
115.5Points scored / game114.6
115.8Points allowed / game115.2
-0.2Adjusted margin / game-0.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
42-40 (-0.3)Last season37-45 (-0.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.