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Pistons vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, May 15

FinalRocket Arena · Prime Video
49% win DETwin CLE 51%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (59-35) host the Detroit Pistons (66-28) on Friday, May 15 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 115 – Cavaliers 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 33-14 at home and the Pistons are 29-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Pistons (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, Pistons L3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Cavaliers 116 – 115 Pistons, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.7 / DET +5.8 per game
-2.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+0.2

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

DETCLE
116.1
Points scored / game
118.8
109.2
Points allowed / game
114.4
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
37.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.0
Assists / game
26.3
8.0
Steals / game
8.8
7.2
Blocks / game
7.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #221pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #28assists
Jalen DurenC · #011rebounds
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #123pts / game
James HardenG · #14assists
Jarrett AllenC · #318rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETCLE
66-28Record59-35
116.1Points scored / game118.8
109.2Points allowed / game114.4
+5.8Adjusted margin / game+3.7
L3Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games5-5
29-17 roadHome / road record33-14 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.